Travel Trends Index: Market Tumult Feeds Decline in U.S. Business Travel
April 5, 2016 10:03am
WASHINGTON (April 5, 2016)—Growth in the travel sector of the U.S. economy remains positive despite a continuing decline in business travel, thanks to a consistently strong domestic leisure travel market, according to the U.S. Travel Association's Travel Trends Index (TTI).
Domestic business travel declined again in February, as businesses struggle to recover confidence amid volatility in international markets. The business Current Travel Index (CTI) for the month was 48.7—a number below 50 indicates decline—falling even below the 6-month average of 49.3.
The predictive 6-month Leading Travel Index (LTI) stands slightly higher at 49.7, but still forecasts a continued contraction in the business travel segment.
"Even though domestic business travel declined and flagging advance airline bookings from abroad brought the LTI down slightly, these number should be measured against the healthy growth seen in previous months," said U.S. Travel Association Senior Vice President for Research David Huether. "Domestic leisure travel is likely to buoy summer travel expenditures, and keep overall travel growth in positive territory for the next six months."
Meanwhile, international inbound travel trailed the domestic market for the eighth straight month in February, due to the strong dollar's suppressive effect on foreign buying power. The weight of the dollar will likely cause international inbound travel growth to hover around 1% into the second quarter of 2016.
The TTI consists of the Current Travel Index (CTI), which measures the number of person trips involving hotel stays and/or flights each month, and the Leading Travel Index (LTI), which measures the likely average pace and direction of business and leisure travel, both domestic and international inbound. It assigns a numeric score to every travel segment it examines—domestic and international, leisure and business—in current, 3-month predictive and 6-month predictive indicators. As with many indices similarly measuring industry performance, a score above 50 indicates growth, and a score below 50 indicates contraction.
The February CTI registered 51.1, down slightly from 52.2 in January, showing that travel demand still grew in February, albeit at a slightly slower rate than the previous month. Still, the CTI has been above 50—indicating growth—for 74 straight months.
In the full Travel Trends Index report, the 3-month and 6-month predictive Leading Travel Indices (which predict future industry performance) indicate a growth rate of around two percent, on average, through August 2016, with readings of 51.3 and 51.2, respectively.
The U.S. Travel Association developed the TTI in partnership with Oxford Economics, and draws from multiple data sources to develop these monthly readings. In order to compile both the CTI and LTI readings, the organization's research team utilizes multiple unique, non-personally identifiable data sets, including:
Learn more about the Travel Trends Index.
Click here to read the full report.
Tags: u.s. travel association,
travel trends index
The U.S. Travel Association is the national, non-profit organization representing all components of the travel industry that generates $2.1 trillion in economic output and supports 15 million jobs. U.S. Travel's mission is to increase travel to and within the United States.
Contact: Cathy Keefe
Contact: Jamie Morris
Marriott's Arne Sorenson and STR's Randy Smith to Be Inducted into U.S. Travel Hall of Leaders
The Business Center of the Future is Here!
Travel Trends Index: Int'l Travel to U.S. Continues Strong Showing Post-Executive Order
Looking for Another BUSINESS CENTER Solution? Discover Why the Industry Shift Is ON and Why It's to TTI
U.S. Travel Trends Index: International Travel Post-Executive Order Stronger Than Expected
U.S. Travel Industry Rallies Behind Brand USA
Travel Trends Index: International Inbound Travel Shows Signs of Weakness
TTI Technologies Reports It's Time to Upgrade and Eliminate Costs With Your Business Center. You and Your Guests Deserve Better.
Wyndham Hotel Group’s Geoff Ballotti Named U.S. Travel National Chair
Travel Trends Index: International Travel Unexpectedly Strong to Start 2017
U.S. Travel Reacts to Trump's Joint Session Address
International Travel to U.S. Finally Returns to Pre-9/11 Levels
Travel Trends Index: Following a Strong 2016, Outlook Improves for Domestic Biz Travel
U.S. Travel Welcomes Senate Confirmation of Rex Tillerson for Secretary of State
U.S. Travel Association Lauds Elaine Chao Confirmation for Secretary of Transportation
U.S. Travel Association Reacts to Executive Orders
U.S. Travel Reacts to Border Security Executive Order
Travel Industry Will Be 'Eager Partner' to Trump Administration According to Roger Dow
Travel Trends Index: Does a "Trump Bump" Get Credit for Surging Travel Forecasts?
U.S. Travel Association's CEO, Roger Dow: Travel Community Looks Forward to Working with General John Kelly, DHS Nominee
Please login or register to post a comment.